Market Update | December 2025

Staying informed on market conditions is key for navigating the real estate journey. Here’s what you need to know…

Mortgage Rates
Still Hovering — Mortgage rates have moved a bit this fall, dipping to 6.17% in October before ticking back up slightly to 6.26% at the end of November. While the short-term fluctuations are small, rates remain nearly a full percentage point below where they started in 2025, giving buyers more purchasing power than they’ve had all year.
Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®. Rates based on 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.

Homes Prices
Cuts & Concessions On The Rise — The median U.S. home sale price in November was $393,248, up 2.1% from last year. Meanwhile, the median monthly mortgage payment fell 2.1% to $2,466, the lowest it’s been in 2025. Homes are spending longer on the market for the 19th month straight, with a median of 49 days, prompting sellers to offer price adjustments and concessions. In fact, over a quarter of all listings have seen price cuts, with the typical listing in the U.S. seeing $25,000 in cumulative reductions in October.

Housing Supply
More Houses Means More Choices — Total U.S. housing inventory landed around 1.17 million at the end of November, a 4.4 months of supply (4–5 months is considered balanced). Inventory growth has slowed since mid-summer but has stayed above 1 million for six consecutive months. Despite steadily rising prices, this added supply is helping balance the market and giving buyers greater choice and negotiating power.

Market Activity
Seasonal Slowdown — The end of the year usually sees lower demand, which aligns with soft buyer activity despite easing mortgage rates. Pending sales are down slightly compared to last year, but new and active listings are up, giving buyers more options. Mortgage applications are running 24% ahead of last year, and refinances have surged 125% over the same period. The Midwest is leading the way with a 5.3% jump in pending sales, signaling that some buyers are taking advantage of current market conditions.
Looking Ahead
Opportunities in Every Listing — As 2025 wraps up, buyers are entering a more balanced market. Higher inventory, slower price growth, and cooling home prices mean more options and negotiating power. Many would-be buyers are watching mortgage rates, hoping for further drops to improve affordability and open up more home options, but lower rates could also trigger a surge in demand and tighten the market.
No matter your plan, it’s important to be ready to act when the right opportunity arises. Cambria Mortgage is here to help you explore your options and make the most of your move with the right financing. Who knows—home for the holidays might be closer than you think!
Sources: Housing Wire, Mortgage News Daily, Realtor.com, Redfin, NAR, FOX Business, Freddie Mac